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2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, predictions: Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy picks by proven model

The FedEx Cup Playoffs are finally here and action returns to TPC Southwind in Memphis for the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship. This will be the final stretch for world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who has crushed the competition all season long by winning six events, including the Masters. He is also coming off of a gold medal victory as a member of Team USA at the 2024 Paris Olympics, so all eyes will be on him to pull off another dominant performance at the FedEx St. Jude 2024.

Scheffler is the +360 favorite in the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, followed by Xander Schauffele at +750. Rory McIlroy (+900) and Collin Morikawa (+1400) follow on the PGA odds board, while Ludvig Aberg is a +2000 longshot. Round 1 begins Thursday at 8:20 a.m. ET. Before locking in your 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks or PGA props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2024 field set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship golf predictions 

One surprise: McIlroy, a four-time major champion and one of the top favorites, does not crack the top five this week. McIlroy missed the cut at The Open Championship in his last PGA Tour event before finishing fifth at the Paris Olympics. Despite three top-five finishes in his last four tournaments, McIlroy has just two PGA Tour victories this season and none since May.

McIlroy finished third at last year’s FedEx St. Jude Championship but he missed the cut the season before. He has one top-10 finish in his last four tournaments at TPC Southwind and given his high position on the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship oddsboard, the model doesn’t see much value in McIlroy. Despite being ranked No. 3 in the world and one of the most recognizable players in PGA Tour history, McIlroy isn’t worth his price this weekend.

The model has also examined where Schauffele finishes. The Southern California native has been the best golfer in major tournaments this season, finishing in the top 10 all four times. He added a bow to those performances by winning the PGA Championship and the Open Championship, becoming the first golfer to win two majors in a season since McIlroy in 2014.

Schauffele has made the cut at all 18 events he has started in 2024, posting top-10 finishes in 12 of those events and top-5 finishes including wins in seven of them. He has just one top-10 finish in six starts at TPC Southwind and has finished outside of the top-20 in his last two FedEx St. Jude starts, but his form this season could be a sign that his fortunes will turn around. The model just locked in its Xander Schauffele FedEx St. Jude Championship picks here.

How to make 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks

The model has revealed where Rory McIlroy and Xander Schauffele finish, along with identifying five golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.  

Who will win the 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the FedEx St. Jude Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected FedEx St. Jude Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters, the PGA Championship and the U.S. Open.

2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship odds, field

Get full 2024 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler +360
Xander Schauffele +750
Rory McIlroy +900
Collin Morikawa +1400
Ludvig Åberg +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Tommy Fleetwood +2800
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Viktor Hovland +3500
Tom Kim +3500
Tony Finau +3500
Justin Thomas +4000
Corey Conners +4000
Russell Henley +4000
Billy Horschel +4500
Sungjae Im +4500
Sahith Theegala +4500
Aaron Rai +4500
Cameron Young +5000
Sam Burns +5000
Jordan Spieth +5500
Matt Fitzpatrick +5500
Adam Scott +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Wyndham Clark +6000
Brian Harman +7000
Sepp Straka +7500
Byeong Hun An +7500
Max Homa +7500
Davis Thompson +8000
Jason Day +8000
Akshay Bhatia +9000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +9000
Will Zalatoris +9000
Si Woo Kim +9000
Min Woo Lee +10000
Taylor Pendrith +10000
Max Greyserman +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Robert MacIntyre +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Maverick McNealy +11000
Harris English +12000
Ben Griffin +12000
Thomas Detry +12000
Cam Davis +12000
Eric Cole +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Nick Dunlap +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Justin Rose +15000
Victor Perez +17000
Taylor Moore +17000
Austin Eckroat +17000
J.T. Poston +17000
Stephan Jaeger +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Adam Hadwin +20000
Seamus Power +22000
Chris Kirk +22000
Patrick Rodgers +25000
Emiliano Grillo +27000
Brendon Todd +27000
Mark Hubbard +30000
Jake Knapp +30000
Nick Taylor +35000
Matthieu Pavon +40000
Peter Malnati +100000  




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