2024 Open Championship odds, predictions: Scottie Scheffler projection by golf model that nailed past 3 majors
Scottie Scheffler showed golf fans he was human with his T-41 performance at the U.S. Open, but he didn’t let that picture of him linger around for long after winning the Travelers Championship one week after his poor showing at the third major of the year. With the fourth major of 2024 beginning on Thursday, July 18, from Royal Troon Golf Club in Scotland, Scheffler looks to claim the 2024 Open Championship title and become the first golfer since Rory McIlroy (2014) to win two major titles in the same year.
Scheffler is the 15-4 favorite in the latest 2024 Open Championship as he enters with six victories over his last 10 tournaments. Scheffler became the first golfer since Arnold Palmer in 1962 to win six PGA Tour titles before the start of July. Rory McIlroy is next in line on the PGA odds board at 8-1, followed by U.S. Open winner Bryson DeChambeau at 12-1. Other British Open contenders include Ludvig Aberg (12-1), Viktor Hovland (15-1) and Jon Rahm (15-1). Before locking in any 2024 Open Championship picks or Scottie Scheffler props, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up nearly $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now with the Open Championship 2024 field taking shape, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Open Championship predictions
One major surprise: Collin Morikawa, an 18-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Morikawa has two top-five results in majors this season, finishing T-3 at the Masters and T-4 at the PGA Championship. The 27-year-old won the 2021 Open Championship and has won two of the 17 major events he’s competed in, showcasing a great return for a golfer with 18-1 odds.
Morikawa is fifth on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained and ranks first in driving accuracy to put himself in great positions to set up his second shot. He’s sixth on the PGA Tour in birdie average and fourth in putting average, which are both aided by him hitting 78.3% of his fairways. Morikawa is fourth in the FedEx Cup standings, and given his status as a two-time major winner and strong major play against the top competition this season, the model projects value in Morikawa at his current 2024 Open Championship odds.
The model has also examined where Scheffler finishes at the 2024 Open Championship. Scheffler has racked up six wins already this season, which includes his second major championship at the Masters in April. He’s finished outside the top-10 just twice in 15 starts season and is coming off a victory at the Travelers Championship in his latest start.
He’s been able to dominate the opposition thanks to his incredible ball striking. Scheffler enters the 2024 Open Championship ranked first in greens in regulation percentage (74.14%) and strokes gained: approach to green (1.485). He’s also been effective on the green, ranking first in putting average (1.687) and 25th in putts per round (28,38). The model just locked in its Scottie Scheffler Open Championship picks here.
How to make 2024 Open Championship picks
The model is also targeting two other golfers with odds of 18-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Open Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the British Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Open Championship leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.
2024 Open Championship odds, field
Get full 2024 Open Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
Scottie Scheffler 15-4
Rory McIlroy 8-1
Xander Schauffele 10-1
Bryson DeChambeau 12-1
Ludvig Aberg 12-1
Jon Rahm 15-1
Viktor Hovland 15-1
Brooks Koepka 18-1
Collin Morikawa 18-1
Patrick Cantlay 20-1
Cameron Smith 22-1
Joaquin Niemann 25-1
Matt Fitzpatrick 25-1
Tom Kim 25-1
Max Homa 25-1
Jordan Spieth 28-1
Wyndham Clark 28-1
Dustin Johnson 28-1
Tyrrell Hatton 30-1
Tony Finau 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Shane Lowry 33-1
Hideki Matsuyama 35-1
Jason Day 35-1
Justin Thomas 35-1
Sungjae Im 40-1
Sahith Theegala 40-1
Cameron Young 40-1
Min Woo Lee 50-1
Corey Conners 60-1
Brian Harman 60-1
Sam Burns 60-1
Justin Rose 65-1
Sepp Straka 70-1
Robert MacIntyre 75-1
Patrick Reed 75-1
Rickie Fowler 75-1
Adam Scott 85-1
Talor Gooch 90-1
Abraham Ancer 90-1
Louis Oosthuizen 90-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
J.T. Poston 100-1
Si Woo Kim 100-1
Russell Henley 125-1
Keith Mitchell 125-1
Tiger Woods 125-1
Daniel Berger 125-1
Thomas Pieters 125-1
Harris English 150-1
David Puig 150-1
Phil Mickelson 150-1
Mito Pereira 150-1
Adam Hadwin 150-1
Sergio Garcia 150-1
Ryan Fox 150-1
Marc Leishman 175-1
Kurt Kitayama 175-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 175-1
Billy Horschel 175-1
Denny McCarthy 175-1
Davis Riley 200-1
Seamus Power 200-1
Aaron Wise 200-1
Gary Woodland 200-1
Jason Kokrak 225-1
Mackenzie Hughes 225-1
Harold Varner III 225-1
Francisco Molinari 250-1
Joel Dahmen 300-1
Jeunghun Wang 350-1
Denwit Boriboonsub 350-1
