Here Are The Key 2024 Election Battlegrounds
![Here Are The Key 2024 Election Battlegrounds Here Are The Key 2024 Election Battlegrounds](https://i0.wp.com/imageio.forbes.com/specials-images/imageserve/66a27d4290401f852c39683e/0x0.jpg?format=jpg&height=900&width=1600&fit=bounds&w=780&resize=780,470&ssl=1)
Topline
Vice President Kamala Harris hold an advantage over former President Donald Trump in almost every battleground state, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll, though the ex-president is cutting into the lead she built in some.
US Vice President Kamala Harris delivers the keynote speech at the American Federation of Teachers’ … [+]
Key Facts
Harris leads Trump by two percentage points among registered voters combined across Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, according to a new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll, which surveyed 4,962 registered voters in the states.
Arizona: Harris and Trump are tied, 48% to 48%, according to Bloomberg, marking the candidates’ most tightly contested state—a rare bit of good news the poll delivered the ex-president, who trailed Harris by two points (49% to 47%) in the state in Bloomberg’s July 24-28 survey.
Georgia: Harris leads by two points, 49% to 47%, among registered voters in the Aug. 23-27 poll, after she and Trump were tied with 47% support in the July survey.
Michigan: Harris leads by three points, 49% to 46%, among registered voters in the Bloomberg poll, though that’s a far thinner lead than the 53% to 42% advantage the groups’ July poll found.
Nevada: Harris is up four points, 49% to 45%, according to the poll, building on a two-point (47% to 45%) lead the pollsters found last month.
North Carolina: Harris leads Trump by two points, 49% to 47%, among registered voters, according to Bloomberg/Morning Consult, reversing the 48% to 46% lead Trump held there in July.
Pennsylvania: Harris owns a four-point lead, 51% to 47%, among registered voters in the poll, a flip from the 50% to 46% lead Trump had in the July poll.
Wisconsin: Harris has an eight-point lead, 52% to 44%, among registered voters, significantly expanding the 49% to 47% lead she was found to have last month.
Tangent
Harris is receiving more support from younger, non-white and female voters—demographics who showed indecision over their support for Biden before he dropped out—according to a recent New York Times survey, which noted Harris had support from 84% of Black voters in the polls, a higher share of support than Biden had before withdrawing from the race in July.
Key Background
Biden dropped out of the race on July 21, despite insisting he would continue his campaign amid an intraparty revolt in the wake of his June 27 debate performance. He immediately endorsed Harris, she announced plans to seek the nomination and officially became the nominee in the first week of August when 99% of delegates voted for her in a virtual roll call. Prior to Biden dropping out of the race, polls consistently found Trump would beat him in most battleground states, despite Biden winning six of the seven (with the exception of North Carolina) in the 2020 election.
Further Reading
Trump Vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Trump Narrowly Leads In Most Polls After Biden Drops Out (Forbes)
Trump’s Lead Over Biden And Harris Jumped After RNC, HarrisX/Forbes Poll Finds (Forbes)
Trump-Biden 2024 Polls: Here’s Who’s Winning In The 6 States That Will Decide The Election (Forbes)
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