Bucks vs. Pacers odds, line, prediction, time: 2025 NBA picks, March 11 best bets from proven model

The Milwaukee Bucks (36-27) and the Indiana Pacers (35-28) are set to link up in an Eastern Conference tilt on Tuesday. The Bucks are looking to get back on track after dropping two straight games. The Cleveland Cavaliers beat Milwaukee 112-100 on Sunday. In the meantime, Indiana has lost three games in a row. On Monday, the Chicago Bulls topped the Pacers 121-103. Damian Lillard (groin) and Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf) are probable for the Bucks. Tyrese Haliburton (hip) missed Monday’s game for the Pacers and is day-to-day.
Tipoff from Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Ind., is at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Bucks are 3.5-point favorites in the latest Bucks vs. Pacers odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 234.5. Before locking in any Pacers vs. Bucks picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.
Now, the model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Bucks vs. Pacers:
- Bucks vs. Pacers spread: Bucks -3.5
- Bucks vs. Pacers over/under: 234.5 points
- Bucks vs. Pacers money line: Milwaukee -158, Indiana +134
- MIL: Bucks are 30-33-1 against the spread this season
- IND: Pacers are 30-32-1 against the spread this season
- Bucks vs. Pacers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Bucks vs. Pacers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why the Bucks can cover
Antetokounmpo finds ways to overpower opponent in the lane. He uses his length and speed to be effective, ranking second in the league in points (30.9), sixth in rebounds (12) and eighth in field-goal percentage (60.5%). He’s logged a double-double in three of his last four games. On March 8 against the Magic, Antetokounmpo had 37 points and 11 rebounds.
Lillard is a knockdown shooter on the perimeter with the court vision to set his teammates up. Lillard is 11th in the NBA in points (25.5) and ninth in assists (7.1) while shooting 37.8% from downtown. He’s tallied 22-plus points and at least five assists in four of his last five games. In the March 5 win over the Dallas Mavericks, Lillard had 34 points and five dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
Why the Pacers can cover
Forward Pascal Siakam can handle the rock and create his own shot with ease. He averages 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists per game. He also shoots 52% from the field. Siakam has scored 30-plus points in two of his last six games. In the March 6 contest against the Hawks, the 30-year-old finished with 35 points and nine boards.
Guard Bennedict Mathurin is an athletic ball-handler and playmaker for Indiana. He puts up 16.4 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Mathurin has 17 games with 20-plus points this campaign. On March 8 versus the Hawks, the Arizona product had 30 points, eight boards and five dimes. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Bucks vs. Pacers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Bucks vs. Pacers and is leaning Under the total, projecting 232 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.
So who wins Bucks vs. Pacers on Tuesday, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bucks vs. Pacers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.
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