Miami vs. Duke odds, spread, line: 2024 college football picks, Week 10 predictions from proven computer model
The No. 5 Miami (FL) Hurricanes will try to extend their perfect start to the season when they host the Duke Blue Devils on Saturday afternoon. Miami (8-0) stayed on track for an ACC title and a spot in the College Football Playoff with a 36-14 win over Florida State last week. Duke (6-2) has lost two of its last three games since getting off to a 5-0 start, falling to then-No. 22 SMU in overtime last week. The Blue Devils stunned the Hurricanes in the most recent meeting (2022), springing an upset as 10-point road underdogs.
Kickoff is set for noon ET at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The Hurricanes are 21-point favorites, per SportsLine consensus, in the latest Miami vs. Duke odds. The over/under for total points is 55, up 3.5 points from the opening line. Before entering any Duke vs. Miami picks, you’ll want to see the college football predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college spread football picks, and it is a sizzling 16-7 on all top-rated picks over the past five weeks of this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps has seen strong returns.
The model has set its sights on Miami vs. Duke. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college football betting lines for the Duke vs. Miami game:
- Miami vs. Duke spread: Miami -21
- Miami vs. Duke over/under: 55 points
- Miami vs. Duke money line: Miami -1639, Duke +886
- Miami vs. Duke picks: See picks here
- Miami vs. Duke streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
Why Miami can cover
Miami is off to its best start since going 10-0 to open the 2017 season, powered by the top scoring offense in the country at 46.8 points per game. The Hurricanes also have the best third-down conversion percentage (59.8), while quarterback Cam Ward ranks second nationally in passing touchdowns (24) and third in passing yards per game (343.3). Ward’s top target is wide receiver Xavier Restrepo, who is second in the ACC in receiving yards (710).
Running back Damien Martinez had 148 rushing yards and two touchdowns in a blowout win over Florida State last week, averaging 9.9 yards per carry. Miami’s defense has been shaky this season, but Duke ranks 14th in the ACC in scoring (26.0). The Blue Devils are going to have trouble exploiting Miami’s weakness on Saturday, and the Hurricanes have covered the spread in eight of the last 12 meetings between these teams. See which team to pick here.
Why Duke can cover
Duke has only lost one game by double digits this season, which came in a 24-14 final at Georgia Tech at the beginning of October. The Blue Devils bounced back from that loss by covering the spread as 2.5-point favorites in a win over Florida State. They put together another strong performance last week, as they had a 2-point conversion opportunity to win the game in overtime against then-No. 22 SMU.
Sophomore quarterback Maalik Murphy completed 27 of 48 passes for 295 yards, three touchdowns and zero interceptions against the Mustangs. He also had three touchdown passes in a road win at Northwestern as a 2-point underdog earlier this season. Duke is unbeaten against the spread in its last five games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Miami vs. Duke picks
The model has simulated Duke vs. Miami 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over, and it’s also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Miami vs. Duke, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Duke vs. Miami spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that’s up well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks since its inception, and find out.